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Future Energy Development StrategyFuture Energy Development Strategy::
The Global Energy NetworkThe Global Energy Network
Emergence of the NextEmergence of the Next
““World Wide Web”World Wide Web”
International Development:International Development:
Statement of NeedStatement of Need
• UN World Food Program
Report (Feb. 17, 2007)
• 850 million people are
“hungry or malnourished”
• Half of this number are
children
• 18,000 children die of
starvation every single day
Worldwide Hunger:Worldwide Hunger:
18,000 Children Die Every Day18,000 Children Die Every Day
• Undergraduate Students: 6,422
• Graduate Students: 11,325
• Total Enrollment, Stanford 17,747
Compared to Stanford University Student Enrollment
Concept of Global Energy NetworkConcept of Global Energy Network
• Connect regional electricity grids into worldwide energy network
Concept of Global Energy NetworkConcept of Global Energy Network
• Connect regional electricity grids into worldwide energy network
The Global Energy NetworkThe Global Energy Network
• Connect regional electricity grids
into worldwide energy network
• Connect renewable energy
resources (hydro, solar, wind)
• Phase out energy generating
plants causing greatest pollution
•Provide universal access to
electricity
•2,000 kWh per capita/year
The Global Energy NetworkThe Global Energy Network
•Proposed by Dr. R.
Buckminster Fuller,
inventor of Geodesic
Dome
• First suggested at
World Game simulation
workshops in 1970’s
Dr. R. Buckminster FullerDr. R. Buckminster Fuller
Special Collections, Stanford University LibrarySpecial Collections, Stanford University Library
World GameWorld Game
Simulation WorkshopsSimulation Workshops
• Conducted at colleges and corporations in 1970’s
• Simulation exercises - opposite of “war games”
• War games prepare for war; world games prepare for peace
• World Game Objective:
• “How can we make the world work…
for 100% of humanity…
in the shortest possible time…
through spontaneous cooperation…
without ecological damage or…
disadvantage to anyone?”
• Highest priority strategy: Global Energy Grid
The Global Energy Network:The Global Energy Network:
Potential BenefitsPotential Benefits
• Turn back the clock on global
warming
• Universal increase in living
standards
• Reduction in hunger and poverty
• Stabilize population growth
• Increase in trade, cooperation
and peace between nations
Unique Properties of ElectricityUnique Properties of Electricity
• Basis of civilization – access to
electricity sets standard of living
• Fastest way to balance earth’s
“energy accounts” – travels at the
speed of light
• Can’t be easily stored
• Used on a time-sensitive basis
(peak vs. off-peak)
Electricity: Basis of CivilizationElectricity: Basis of Civilization
• Developed world: 2,000+ kWh per capita
• Developing world: 1,000 – 2,000 kWh per capita
• Poverty: Less than 1,000 kWh per capita
Electricity: Basis of CivilizationElectricity: Basis of Civilization
• Current world population
6.5 Billion people
• People with no access to electricity:
2 Billion people
Billions of People
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
World Population No electricity
Electricity: Basis of CivilizationElectricity: Basis of Civilization
• Clean drinking water and adequate water
treatment systems
• Refrigeration: stable food supply and
medicines
• Reduction of disease and infant mortality
• Improved standard of living: stable
population growth
• Correlates with high literacy rate
• Stable economy with steady job growth
Electricity: Supply vs. DemandElectricity: Supply vs. Demand
Fastest Way to Balance Earth Energy AccountsFastest Way to Balance Earth Energy Accounts
• Earth’s Daily Energy Input:
174,000 Terawatts
• Earth’s Daily Energy Needs:
13.4 Terawatts
• Every day, Earth receives
12,000 times
as much energy as civilization uses
Electricity: Supply vs. DemandElectricity: Supply vs. Demand
Fastest Way to Balance Earth Energy AccountsFastest Way to Balance Earth Energy Accounts
• Energy Not Always…
• the right kind of energy
• at the right place
• at the right time…
• Not a supply problem, but a
distribution problem
• Electricity travels at speed of light
• Only commodity that can be traded,
delivered and used immediately
Electricity: Time-Sensitive DemandElectricity: Time-Sensitive Demand
• Electricity needs change
throughout the day
• Peak needs only occur briefly
during day
• Avg needs usually ½ what
peak needs are
• Baseload needs usually ½
again as small
• Large amounts of energy
wasted as generating facilities
are started and stopped during
the day
Option 1: Power Plants Respond to Peak DemandOption 1: Power Plants Respond to Peak Demand
• Power plants produce:
• 59% of sulfur dioxide
• 18% of nitrogen oxide
• 40% of carbon dioxide
• Over half use coal
Option 2: Electricity Energy TransfersOption 2: Electricity Energy Transfers
• Bulk power
transfer more
efficient than
transient
generation
• Over 35% of all
energy sold now
bulk power
transfer
24 Time Zones Worldwide24 Time Zones Worldwide
Electricity Meets Changing Global NeedsElectricity Meets Changing Global Needs
Electricity Meets Changing Global NeedsElectricity Meets Changing Global Needs
Electricity Meets Changing Global NeedsElectricity Meets Changing Global Needs
Energy Transmission Limits?Energy Transmission Limits?
• Up until 1930’s,
transmission limit was
350 miles
Electricity Transmission LimitsElectricity Transmission Limits
Energy Transmission Limits?Energy Transmission Limits?
• Up until 1930’s,
transmission limit was
350 miles
• New technology in
1960’s increased this limit
to 1,500 miles
Electricity Transmission LimitsElectricity Transmission Limits
Energy Transmission Limits?Energy Transmission Limits?
• Up until 1930’s,
transmission limit was
350 miles
• New technology in
1960’s increased this limit
to 1,500 miles
• UHV and HVDC
technology now allow bulk
power transfers of more
than 4,300 miles
Electricity Transmission LimitsElectricity Transmission Limits
Pacific-Southwest IntertiePacific-Southwest Intertie
• High Voltage (500kV) DC
Line
• Enough power to serve 2-3
million LA households
• Completed in 1972, upgraded
in 1984 and 2004
• Connects Bonneville hydro
power in NW to Southern
California
• Line extends about 900 miles
Electric Utility Industry BarriersElectric Utility Industry Barriers
• Highly regulated for past
100+ years
• Fragmented, regional utility
service areas
• Little or no incentive to invest
in new transmission
infrastructure
• No over-arching global
strategy
Global Energy Grid: Largely BuiltGlobal Energy Grid: Largely Built
Asia Pacific Rim ElectricityAsia Pacific Rim Electricity
CooperationCooperation
• Proposed by Hitachi
Research Institute in 1998
• Interconnect Pacific Rim
nations with UHV and
HVDC lines
• Flatten demand curve
across multiple time zones
• Flatten out seasonal
demands between tropical
and high-latitude climates
East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge
• Symbolic connection
across International Date
Line
East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge
• Symbolic connection
across International Date
Line
• Would connect North
America with Siberia
across the Bering Straits
East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge
• Symbolic connection
across International Date
Line
• Would connect North
America with Siberia
across the Bering Straits
East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge
• Symbolic connection
across International Date
Line
• Would connect North
America with Siberia
across the Bering Straits
• Connection to Diomede
Island midpoint is 26 miles
East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge
• Symbolic connection
across International Date
Line
• Would connect North
America with Siberia
across the Bering Straits
• Connection to Diomede
Island midpoint is 26 miles
• Leg to Siberian mainland
is just 22 miles
Former Soviet Union Time ZonesFormer Soviet Union Time Zones
Global Energy Network EndorsementsGlobal Energy Network Endorsements
• Walter Cronkite
• Al Gore
• Boutros Boutros-Ghali
• His Holiness Dalai Lama
• Rev. Desmond Tutu
• Vincente Fox
• Jonas Salk
• Senator Tim Wirth
• Senator Jim Jeffords
• Senator Alan Cranston
• Dr. Oscar Arias
Grid-Building in 2006Grid-Building in 2006
• Russia and China agree to interconnect
• China also sign deals with Vietnam and
Tajikistan
• South Korea offers to extend grid into
North Korea
• Kenya and Ethiopia agree to supply
power to each other
• Modeled after 12-nation South Africa
Power Pool, 14 west Africa nations plan to
link their energy grids
Grid-Building in 2006Grid-Building in 2006
• Lebanon to be linked to regional grid that
includes Egypt, Jordan, Syria and Turkey
• Same project will join Libya and Iraq
• Former enemies Iran and Iraq agreed to
build four cross-border power lines
• Mexico’s Mesoamerica Initiative plans to
integrate energy grids of all of the
Central American nations
Trends Supporting Grid GrowthTrends Supporting Grid Growth
Technical
• UHV and HVDC technology
• Superconducting transmission lines
• Zero resistance, zero power loss
• “Smart Grid” strategies:
• Interactive energy management
• Robust data transmission
• Real time pricing and communications
between producers and consumers
• Improved reliability
• National Grid Week: April 23-26
Trends Supporting Grid GrowthTrends Supporting Grid Growth
Economical
• High risk, cost of plant construction
• M/A activity among utility firms
• Growth of Distributed Generation
• Growth in Renewable Energy
Micro-Generation: Home SolarMicro-Generation: Home Solar
• California Solar Initiative adding
thousands of small to medium-size
solar energy systems
• “Net Metering” Program:
• During day, homes spin meter
backwards, selling power back to grid
•At night, homes “buy back” power
sold during the day
• Each of these solar homes are new
nodes on the energy grid
• Electricity connection into house is
now a 2-way pipe
Long-Range ConsequencesLong-Range Consequences
• Growth in renewable energy “pro-sumers”
• Aggregators seeking contracts on blocks
of solar, wind and fuel cell-generated
“premium power”
• New industry: Hardware and software for
energy management and energy
transactions
• “Peer-to-Peer” energy trading over longer
distances
• Direct, individual participation in the global
economy
The Energy ChallengeThe Energy Challenge
“Where there is no vision,
the people perish.”
Proverbs 29:18
The Future Energy VisionThe Future Energy Vision
• A homeowner in San Jose will capture
kilowatts for sale to a homeowner in
Shanghai
• Instead of running all of the world’s
generators half the time… we will run half
the world’s generators all the time.
• Successful phase out of fossil fuels
• Reversal of climate change
• Universal access to electricity… and a
reasonable standard of living, world-wide
Thank You.Thank You.
For more information…For more information…
www.geni.org

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Global Energy Network: The Next World Wide Web (at Stanford University)

  • 1. Future Energy Development StrategyFuture Energy Development Strategy:: The Global Energy NetworkThe Global Energy Network Emergence of the NextEmergence of the Next ““World Wide Web”World Wide Web”
  • 2. International Development:International Development: Statement of NeedStatement of Need • UN World Food Program Report (Feb. 17, 2007) • 850 million people are “hungry or malnourished” • Half of this number are children • 18,000 children die of starvation every single day
  • 3. Worldwide Hunger:Worldwide Hunger: 18,000 Children Die Every Day18,000 Children Die Every Day • Undergraduate Students: 6,422 • Graduate Students: 11,325 • Total Enrollment, Stanford 17,747 Compared to Stanford University Student Enrollment
  • 4. Concept of Global Energy NetworkConcept of Global Energy Network • Connect regional electricity grids into worldwide energy network
  • 5. Concept of Global Energy NetworkConcept of Global Energy Network • Connect regional electricity grids into worldwide energy network
  • 6. The Global Energy NetworkThe Global Energy Network • Connect regional electricity grids into worldwide energy network • Connect renewable energy resources (hydro, solar, wind) • Phase out energy generating plants causing greatest pollution •Provide universal access to electricity •2,000 kWh per capita/year
  • 7. The Global Energy NetworkThe Global Energy Network •Proposed by Dr. R. Buckminster Fuller, inventor of Geodesic Dome • First suggested at World Game simulation workshops in 1970’s
  • 8. Dr. R. Buckminster FullerDr. R. Buckminster Fuller Special Collections, Stanford University LibrarySpecial Collections, Stanford University Library
  • 9. World GameWorld Game Simulation WorkshopsSimulation Workshops • Conducted at colleges and corporations in 1970’s • Simulation exercises - opposite of “war games” • War games prepare for war; world games prepare for peace • World Game Objective: • “How can we make the world work… for 100% of humanity… in the shortest possible time… through spontaneous cooperation… without ecological damage or… disadvantage to anyone?” • Highest priority strategy: Global Energy Grid
  • 10. The Global Energy Network:The Global Energy Network: Potential BenefitsPotential Benefits • Turn back the clock on global warming • Universal increase in living standards • Reduction in hunger and poverty • Stabilize population growth • Increase in trade, cooperation and peace between nations
  • 11. Unique Properties of ElectricityUnique Properties of Electricity • Basis of civilization – access to electricity sets standard of living • Fastest way to balance earth’s “energy accounts” – travels at the speed of light • Can’t be easily stored • Used on a time-sensitive basis (peak vs. off-peak)
  • 12. Electricity: Basis of CivilizationElectricity: Basis of Civilization • Developed world: 2,000+ kWh per capita • Developing world: 1,000 – 2,000 kWh per capita • Poverty: Less than 1,000 kWh per capita
  • 13. Electricity: Basis of CivilizationElectricity: Basis of Civilization • Current world population 6.5 Billion people • People with no access to electricity: 2 Billion people Billions of People 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 World Population No electricity
  • 14. Electricity: Basis of CivilizationElectricity: Basis of Civilization • Clean drinking water and adequate water treatment systems • Refrigeration: stable food supply and medicines • Reduction of disease and infant mortality • Improved standard of living: stable population growth • Correlates with high literacy rate • Stable economy with steady job growth
  • 15. Electricity: Supply vs. DemandElectricity: Supply vs. Demand Fastest Way to Balance Earth Energy AccountsFastest Way to Balance Earth Energy Accounts • Earth’s Daily Energy Input: 174,000 Terawatts • Earth’s Daily Energy Needs: 13.4 Terawatts • Every day, Earth receives 12,000 times as much energy as civilization uses
  • 16. Electricity: Supply vs. DemandElectricity: Supply vs. Demand Fastest Way to Balance Earth Energy AccountsFastest Way to Balance Earth Energy Accounts • Energy Not Always… • the right kind of energy • at the right place • at the right time… • Not a supply problem, but a distribution problem • Electricity travels at speed of light • Only commodity that can be traded, delivered and used immediately
  • 17. Electricity: Time-Sensitive DemandElectricity: Time-Sensitive Demand • Electricity needs change throughout the day • Peak needs only occur briefly during day • Avg needs usually ½ what peak needs are • Baseload needs usually ½ again as small • Large amounts of energy wasted as generating facilities are started and stopped during the day
  • 18. Option 1: Power Plants Respond to Peak DemandOption 1: Power Plants Respond to Peak Demand • Power plants produce: • 59% of sulfur dioxide • 18% of nitrogen oxide • 40% of carbon dioxide • Over half use coal
  • 19. Option 2: Electricity Energy TransfersOption 2: Electricity Energy Transfers • Bulk power transfer more efficient than transient generation • Over 35% of all energy sold now bulk power transfer
  • 20. 24 Time Zones Worldwide24 Time Zones Worldwide
  • 21. Electricity Meets Changing Global NeedsElectricity Meets Changing Global Needs
  • 22. Electricity Meets Changing Global NeedsElectricity Meets Changing Global Needs
  • 23. Electricity Meets Changing Global NeedsElectricity Meets Changing Global Needs
  • 24. Energy Transmission Limits?Energy Transmission Limits? • Up until 1930’s, transmission limit was 350 miles
  • 26. Energy Transmission Limits?Energy Transmission Limits? • Up until 1930’s, transmission limit was 350 miles • New technology in 1960’s increased this limit to 1,500 miles
  • 28. Energy Transmission Limits?Energy Transmission Limits? • Up until 1930’s, transmission limit was 350 miles • New technology in 1960’s increased this limit to 1,500 miles • UHV and HVDC technology now allow bulk power transfers of more than 4,300 miles
  • 30. Pacific-Southwest IntertiePacific-Southwest Intertie • High Voltage (500kV) DC Line • Enough power to serve 2-3 million LA households • Completed in 1972, upgraded in 1984 and 2004 • Connects Bonneville hydro power in NW to Southern California • Line extends about 900 miles
  • 31. Electric Utility Industry BarriersElectric Utility Industry Barriers • Highly regulated for past 100+ years • Fragmented, regional utility service areas • Little or no incentive to invest in new transmission infrastructure • No over-arching global strategy
  • 32. Global Energy Grid: Largely BuiltGlobal Energy Grid: Largely Built
  • 33. Asia Pacific Rim ElectricityAsia Pacific Rim Electricity CooperationCooperation • Proposed by Hitachi Research Institute in 1998 • Interconnect Pacific Rim nations with UHV and HVDC lines • Flatten demand curve across multiple time zones • Flatten out seasonal demands between tropical and high-latitude climates
  • 34. East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge • Symbolic connection across International Date Line
  • 35. East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge • Symbolic connection across International Date Line • Would connect North America with Siberia across the Bering Straits
  • 36. East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge • Symbolic connection across International Date Line • Would connect North America with Siberia across the Bering Straits
  • 37. East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge • Symbolic connection across International Date Line • Would connect North America with Siberia across the Bering Straits • Connection to Diomede Island midpoint is 26 miles
  • 38. East-West Energy BridgeEast-West Energy Bridge • Symbolic connection across International Date Line • Would connect North America with Siberia across the Bering Straits • Connection to Diomede Island midpoint is 26 miles • Leg to Siberian mainland is just 22 miles
  • 39. Former Soviet Union Time ZonesFormer Soviet Union Time Zones
  • 40. Global Energy Network EndorsementsGlobal Energy Network Endorsements • Walter Cronkite • Al Gore • Boutros Boutros-Ghali • His Holiness Dalai Lama • Rev. Desmond Tutu • Vincente Fox • Jonas Salk • Senator Tim Wirth • Senator Jim Jeffords • Senator Alan Cranston • Dr. Oscar Arias
  • 41. Grid-Building in 2006Grid-Building in 2006 • Russia and China agree to interconnect • China also sign deals with Vietnam and Tajikistan • South Korea offers to extend grid into North Korea • Kenya and Ethiopia agree to supply power to each other • Modeled after 12-nation South Africa Power Pool, 14 west Africa nations plan to link their energy grids
  • 42. Grid-Building in 2006Grid-Building in 2006 • Lebanon to be linked to regional grid that includes Egypt, Jordan, Syria and Turkey • Same project will join Libya and Iraq • Former enemies Iran and Iraq agreed to build four cross-border power lines • Mexico’s Mesoamerica Initiative plans to integrate energy grids of all of the Central American nations
  • 43. Trends Supporting Grid GrowthTrends Supporting Grid Growth Technical • UHV and HVDC technology • Superconducting transmission lines • Zero resistance, zero power loss • “Smart Grid” strategies: • Interactive energy management • Robust data transmission • Real time pricing and communications between producers and consumers • Improved reliability • National Grid Week: April 23-26
  • 44. Trends Supporting Grid GrowthTrends Supporting Grid Growth Economical • High risk, cost of plant construction • M/A activity among utility firms • Growth of Distributed Generation • Growth in Renewable Energy
  • 45. Micro-Generation: Home SolarMicro-Generation: Home Solar • California Solar Initiative adding thousands of small to medium-size solar energy systems • “Net Metering” Program: • During day, homes spin meter backwards, selling power back to grid •At night, homes “buy back” power sold during the day • Each of these solar homes are new nodes on the energy grid • Electricity connection into house is now a 2-way pipe
  • 46. Long-Range ConsequencesLong-Range Consequences • Growth in renewable energy “pro-sumers” • Aggregators seeking contracts on blocks of solar, wind and fuel cell-generated “premium power” • New industry: Hardware and software for energy management and energy transactions • “Peer-to-Peer” energy trading over longer distances • Direct, individual participation in the global economy
  • 47. The Energy ChallengeThe Energy Challenge “Where there is no vision, the people perish.” Proverbs 29:18
  • 48. The Future Energy VisionThe Future Energy Vision • A homeowner in San Jose will capture kilowatts for sale to a homeowner in Shanghai • Instead of running all of the world’s generators half the time… we will run half the world’s generators all the time. • Successful phase out of fossil fuels • Reversal of climate change • Universal access to electricity… and a reasonable standard of living, world-wide
  • 49. Thank You.Thank You. For more information…For more information… www.geni.org